Nfl Playoff Picture 2025 Current Standings Seeding Clinching Outlook
Week 14 Standings • Updated After Thursday Night Football If the season ended today, these teams would make the playoffs Outside looking in if season ended today These teams have been eliminated from playoff contention If the season ended today, these teams would make the playoffs Damien Woody explains how the Chiefs' season is essentially over after Sunday night's loss to the Texans.
(0:41) We're officially through Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season, the playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LX are starting to come into view. Which teams have the best chances to make the 14-team playoff field? Which still have work to do to ultimately get in? No one has clinched yet ... but a few teams are getting close.
We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch its division and even make the Super Bowl. And we also have projected seeds. Jump to: AFC picture | NFC picture AFC seeds | NFC seeds The Chiefs are out of contention for the AFC West title for the first time in 10 seasons. In order to earn a playoff berth, they'll have to be a wild-card team, which ESPN's FPI currently gives them only an 11% chance of doing.
The Texans, meanwhile, saw their chances surge with their win on Sunday night and have the sixth-easiest remaining strength of schedule in the AFC. When we look back at the 2025 regular season, we may be pointing to Week 14 as the pivotal moment that sculpted the playoff picture. Coming into the weekend, the slate had the promise of being an inflection point with multiple divisional matchups on deck between clubs in the thick of the playoff race. That included Steelers-Ravens duking it out for first place in the AFC North, along with Bears-Packers squaring off at Lambeau Field in an NFC North duel, and Colts-Jaguars jockeying for position atop the AFC... And those games did not disappoint. Pittsburgh and Green Bay both pulled off wins to jump back into first place in their respective division.
Meanwhile, Jacksonville held its spot atop the AFC South after taking down Indy, but the headline from that contest was Daniel Jones leaving the game due to an Achilles injury. That further shakes up the playoff picture in the AFC. With Week 14 complete, let's take a look at this latest snapshot and see who would be in and out of the playoffs. On top of the standings, we'll also run through the entire playoff picture, including the remaining schedules for each primary contender. This is the NFL playoff picture as it stands, with the following teams tabbed for postseason spots: The 2025 NFL playoff race is officially heating up as teams across the AFC and NFC battle for postseason positioning.
With Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans on the horizon, every win, loss, and tiebreaker now carries massive playoff implications. Below is a full breakdown of the current NFL playoff picture, including teams in the hunt, on the bubble, and eliminated, based on the latest standings. As of this latest update, seven teams remain firmly in postseason contention from the American Football Conference: These teams are currently positioned within the top seven and would qualify for the playoffs if the season ended today. Just outside the playoff cut line, several teams remain mathematically alive: Welcome to The Athletic’s 2025 NFL Playoff Simulator, where you’ll find everything you need to know about all the ways your favorite team’s season could end, from a No.
1 playoff seed to the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. The tables above represent our best guess for the final playoff picture, along with a view of the standings if the season ended today. Below, you’ll find much more detailed estimates for all 32 NFL teams. All these estimates are powered by Austin Mock’s NFL Projection Model. You can read more about this tool and how it works right here, and send in your questions to AskAustin@theathletic.com.
About the simulator: We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often each team makes the playoffs, gets the No. 1 seed, the No. 1 draft pick and so on. We estimate each team’s probability of winning each remaining game using a statistical forecast that incorporates a host of data, including team records, roster changes, weather, game location and more advanced measures like expected... By Ryan Best, David Haye, Elliot Jordan, Junghye Kim, Austin Mock, Matt Myers, Thomas Oide, Laura Pelton, Yuriko Schumacher and Oliver Viehweger Adapted from The New York Times’s NFL Playoff Simulator.
The NFL playoff race took center stage in Week 14 and saw plenty of movement. In the NFC, the Bears went from the No. 1 seed to No. 7 with their loss to the Packers. The Seahawks are 10-3, one game out of the best record in the NFL, but they're No. 5 because of the 10-3 Rams.
The San Francisco 49ers, also in the NFC West, is the No. 6 seed in the NFC at 9-4. In the AFC, the Broncos moved up to the No. 1 seed with a win over the Raiders. Check out the up-to-date NFL Playoff Picture if the playoffs started right now after Week 14. In the hunt: Indianapolis Colts (8-5), Baltimore Ravens (6-7)
The AFC playoff picture has gotten reasonably clearer with the Ravens and Chiefs losing in Week 14. The Patriots and Bears are currently the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Who saw that coming? We look at the Patriots, Bears and everyone else in the NFL playoff race below, with standings updated through all games played in Week 13: 1.
Patriots (11-2) Best record in the NFL. 2. Broncos (10-2) If they win out, they’re the No. 1 seed in the AFC, as they would own the tiebreaker over the Patriots. 3. Jaguars (8-4) Lead the AFC South thanks to a better record than the Colts against common opponents.
4. Ravens (6-6) Own the common games tiebreaker over the Steelers. The Carolina Panthers kept their playoff hopes alive with an upset win of the NFC's No. 1 seed, the Los Angeles Rams, in the headline game of the Week 13 early slate. The upset win knocked the Rams back to the second seed, allowing the Chicago Bears to rise to the top spot in the conference. What do the rest of the NFC and AFC playoff brackets look like after a pivotal schedule of games?
Find out with this look at the whole picture. 1. Denver Broncos (10-2, West; Wins tie break over New England based on best win percentage in common games.) Who is in position to make the NFL playoffs entering the NFL Week 15 schedule? What would NFL postseason matchups be right now? See the updated NFL playoff picture and NFL postseason standings after NFL Week 14 games.
There were some big changes from the NFL playoff picture last week (last week's rank in parentheses). No teams have clinched berths in the postseason, but several teams have been eliminated from postseason contention. There are eight NFL divisions, four in the NFC and four in the AFC, with each division winner earning a playoff berth in each conference, along with the three non-division winners with the best... The top seeds in each conference receive byes to the second round.
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Week 14 Standings • Updated After Thursday Night Football If
Week 14 Standings • Updated After Thursday Night Football If the season ended today, these teams would make the playoffs Outside looking in if season ended today These teams have been eliminated from playoff contention If the season ended today, these teams would make the playoffs Damien Woody explains how the Chiefs' season is essentially over after Sunday night's loss to the Texans.
(0:41) We're Officially Through Week 14 Of The 2025 NFL
(0:41) We're officially through Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season, the playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LX are starting to come into view. Which teams have the best chances to make the 14-team playoff field? Which still have work to do to ultimately get in? No one has clinched yet ... but a few teams are getting close.
We Used ESPN's Football Power Index To Project The Rest
We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch its division and even make the Super Bowl. And we also have projected seeds. Jump to: AFC picture | NFC picture AFC seeds | NFC seeds The Chiefs are out of contention for the AFC West title for the first t...
The Texans, Meanwhile, Saw Their Chances Surge With Their Win
The Texans, meanwhile, saw their chances surge with their win on Sunday night and have the sixth-easiest remaining strength of schedule in the AFC. When we look back at the 2025 regular season, we may be pointing to Week 14 as the pivotal moment that sculpted the playoff picture. Coming into the weekend, the slate had the promise of being an inflection point with multiple divisional matchups on de...
Meanwhile, Jacksonville Held Its Spot Atop The AFC South After
Meanwhile, Jacksonville held its spot atop the AFC South after taking down Indy, but the headline from that contest was Daniel Jones leaving the game due to an Achilles injury. That further shakes up the playoff picture in the AFC. With Week 14 complete, let's take a look at this latest snapshot and see who would be in and out of the playoffs. On top of the standings, we'll also run through the en...